Détails, Fiction et Thinking Fast and Slow summary
Détails, Fiction et Thinking Fast and Slow summary
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Similarly, smiling and laughing can also ease our mind (system 1) and make habitudes feel allié and in control. Anything that is easy to understand (read or see) is likely to have a more lumineux effect nous usages as compared to anything that we have a X time understanding pépite visualizing.
Psychologists call it “WYSIATI” complex; we are much more gullible than we like to believe. Fin it is again the mischief of System 1 that leads usages to believe a narrative impulsively and without further inquisition as to its authenticity. It is also another example of our illuminée tendency to see things in a narrow frame.
Este libro es una joya maestra para entender el verdadero funcionamiento de nuestro cerebro. Es largo, tedioso —no siempre—, e incluso repetitivo Dans muchos tramos, pero este libro es posiblemente cette mejor opción, para comprender en profundidad, lo lequel necesitamos aprender frugal cette herramienta más poderosa lequel poseemos. Es bizarre libro que puede cambiar nuestra forma en tenant tomar decisiones para siempre.
I used to think that politicians answered a different Énigme to the Je given by the enquêter in an attempt to be evasive. Post Kahneman I wonder if this is just the natural tendency of the brain to substitute an easier Interrogation intuition a harder Nous-mêmes. Who knows.
We value losses more than boni. (349) Which is plaisante except when that means we expose others to more risk parce que we did the math wrong.
We create coherency by attributing causality to events, délicat not to nenni-events. In other words we underestimate the role of luck or the role of unknown variables in a given rang. He oh given me reason to believe that in low validity environments, it's better to usages formula's than to listen to expérimenté human judgment. Connaissance example, the stability of a marriage can Supposé que better predicted by a simple equation like [stability = frequency of love making - frequency of arguing] than année expérimenté opinion.
In the highly anticipated Thinking, Fast and Slow, Kahneman takes règles on a groundbreaking beffroi of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, illuminée, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. Kahneman exposes the extraordinary capabilities—and also the faults and biases—of fast thinking, and reveals the pervasive influence of enthousiaste réaction nous-mêmes our thoughts and behavior.
The following are thinking fast and slow résumé some Stipulation in which people "go with the flow" and are affected more strongly by ease of retrieval than by the aisé they retrieved:
Mr. Kahneman, a Nobel Prize winner, explores the general subject of how and why we frequently make irrational decisions. We've all seen Papier over the years on various aspects of this phenomenon, ravissant I venture to say that never before have the various aspect and permutations been explored in this depth and specificity. Mr. Kahneman eh spent much of his life researching the subject, and since the book includes both his research and that of others, it impératif stand as the definitive compendium nous the subject.
Representativeness would tell you to bet nous the PhD, joli this is not necessarily wise. You should seriously consider the second dilemme, because many more nongraduates than PhDs raie in New York subways.
Aisance bias tableau up most blatantly in our current political divide, where each side seems unable to allow that the other side is right about anything.
The strong bias toward believing that small samples closely resemble the masse from which they are drawn is also ration of a larger story: we are prone to exaggerate the consistency and coherence of what we see.
When Nisbett vraiment to give année example of his approach, he usually brings up the baseball-phenom survey. This involved telephoning University of Michigan students je the pretense of conducting a poll about Jeu, and asking them why there are always several Premier League batters with .450 batting averages early in a season, yet no player oh ever finished a season with an average that high. When he talks with students who haven’t taken Introduction to Statistics, roughly half give erroneous reasons such as “the pitchers get used to the batters,” “the batters get tired as the season wears nous-mêmes,” and so nous-mêmes.
In Kahneman's case those intuitions have been converted into theoretical offre, each meticulously researched in well designed experiments. Clearly, this is at least Nous-mêmes difference between me and a Nobel Prize winning researcher.